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Zacks Bull and Bear of the Day Highlights: Allstate, Adobe Systems, American Financial Group, Emc Insurance Group and Global Indemnity
By: PR Newswire
Jan. 4, 2013 09:30 AM
CHICAGO, Jan. 4, 2013 /PRNewswire/ -- Zacks Equity Research highlights Allstate (NYSE:ALL) as the Bull of the Day and Adobe Systems (Nasdaq:ADBE) as the Bear of the Day. In addition, Zacks Equity Research provides analysis on American Financial Group Inc. (NYSE:AFG), Emc Insurance Group Inc. (Nasdaq:EMCI) and Global Indemnity Plc Ireland (Nasdaq:GBLI).
Full analysis of all these stocks is available at http://at.zacks.com/?id=2678.
Here is a synopsis of all five stocks:
Allstate's (NYSE:ALL) third quarter earnings solidly beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate due to significant reduction in catastrophe losses and claims coupled with improved premiums, ROE and book value. An appreciated investment portfolio also boosted the operating cash flow and liquidity.
Agency expansions, ratings affirmation, dividend increment, product restructuring and acquisitions validate Allstate's long-term stability. Though the current volatile economy and catastrophe losses will continue to impact the results in the fourth quarter of 2012, continued synergies are expected from Allstate's industry-leading position, diversification and pricing discipline.
Our six-month target price of $48.00 per share equates to about 13.0x our earnings estimate for 2012. Combined with the $0.88 per share annual dividend, this target price implies an expected total return of 20.6% over that period, which is consistent with our Outperform recommendation.
Adobe Systems' (Nasdaq:ADBE) fourth quarter earnings exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate, but we feel the subscription service will hurt Adobe's revenue growth. Hence, we are downgrading our recommendation on Adobe shares from Neutral to Underperform.
Adobe lowered its fiscal 2013 guidance from $4.4 billion to $4.1 billion, considering the faster uptake the of Creative Cloud subscription model. We expect near-term revenue to remain under pressure.
The company's expected earnings growth rate over the next 5 years is well below the average for the industry. Hence the downgrade in recommendation. Our $34.00 target price, 26.0X 2014 EPS, reflects this view.
Latest Posts on the Zacks Analyst Blog:
American Financial: A Strong Buy
On January 2, Zacks Investment Research upgraded American Financial Group Inc. (NYSE:AFG) to a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy).
Get the full analysis of all these stocks by going to http://at.zacks.com/?id=2649.
About the Bull and Bear of the Day
Every day, the analysts at Zacks Equity Research select two stocks that are likely to outperform (Bull) or underperform (Bear) the markets over the next 3-6 months.
About the Analyst Blog
Updated throughout every trading day, the Analyst Blog provides analysis from Zacks Equity Research about the latest news and events impacting stocks and the financial markets.
About Zacks Equity Research
Zacks Equity Research provides the best of quantitative and qualitative analysis to help investors know what stocks to buy and which to sell for the long-term.
Continuous analyst coverage is provided for a universe of 1,150 publicly traded stocks. Our analysts are organized by industry which gives them keen insights to developments that affect company profits and stock performance. Recommendations and target prices are six-month time horizons.
Zacks.com is a property of Zacks Investment Research, Inc., which was formed in 1978 by Leonard Zacks. As a PhD from MIT Len knew he could find patterns in stock market data that would lead to superior investment results. Amongst his many accomplishments was the formation of his proprietary stock picking system; the Zacks Rank, which continues to outperform the market by nearly a 3 to 1 margin. The best way to unlock the profitable stock recommendations and market insights of Zacks Investment
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SOURCE Zacks Investment Research, Inc.
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