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Michigan Retailers Association: Early Season Holiday Shopping Proved Strong
Note: December Numbers and the Results of the Holiday Shopping Season in Michigan Will Not Be Available Until January 23, 2013
By: Marketwired .
Dec. 27, 2012 01:18 PM
LANSING, MI -- (Marketwire) -- 12/27/12 -- While the results of the 2012 holiday shopping season in Michigan aren't yet known, sales remained solid through November, according to the Michigan Retail Index, a joint project of Michigan Retailers Association (MRA) and the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago. The state's retail industry boosted its performance and optimism slightly in November after a strong October that gave retailers a head of steam going into the traditional Thanksgiving to Christmas shopping season. The November Michigan Retail Index found that 43 percent of retailers increased sales over the same month last year, while 30 percent recorded declines and 27 percent saw no change. The results create a seasonally adjusted performance index of 60.2, up from 59.4 in October. A year ago November it was 63.2. The Index gauges the performance of the state's overall retail industry, based on monthly surveys conducted by MRA and the Federal Reserve. Index values above 50 generally indicate positive activity; the higher the number, the stronger the activity. Looking forward, 47 percent of retailers expect sales during December - February to increase over the same period last year, while 18 percent project a decrease and 35 percent no change. That puts the seasonally adjusted outlook index at 72.8 in November, up slightly from 72.1 in October. A year ago November it was 75.8. Note: William Strauss, Senior Economist and Economic Advisor with the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, can be reached at 312.322.8151.
Michigan Retail Index
November Performance
% Increased % Decreased % No Change Index* Responses Sales 43 (47) 30 (34) 27 (19) 60.2 (59.4) 66 (89) Inventory 38 (43) 17 (18) 45 (39) 57.4 (56.8) 66 (87) Prices 26 (29) 6 (7) 68 (64) 60.8 (60.5) 66 (88) Promotions 33 (28) 8 (5) 59 (67) 58.8 (59.3) 66 (88) Hiring 4 (11) 8 (6) 88 (83) 50.5 (52.4) 65 (88)
Outlook for Next 3 Months
% Increased % Decreased % No Change Index* Responses Sales 47 (57) 18 (17) 35 (26) 72.8 (72.1) 66 (88) Inventory 25 (30) 26 (25) 49 (45) 58.1 (57.6) 65 (87) Prices 29 (26) 5 (5) 66 (69) 63.7 (62.4) 65 (87) Promotions 31 (40) 5 (2) 64 (58) 67.6 (67.2) 65 (87) Hiring 8 (11) 12 (6) 80 (83) 51.2 (53.4) 65 (87)
November Sales Performance & Outlook for Next 3 Months, by Region
% Increased % Decreased % No Change North 41 (35) 24 (24) 35 (41) West 53 (53) 20 (27) 27 (20) Central 57 (57) 14 (14) 29 (29) East 17 (17) 50 (16) 33 (67) Southeast 47 (65) 47 (6) 6 (29)
*Seasonally adjusted diffusion index. A diffusion index, which is the sum of the percent of respondents indicating increase and half the percent indicating no change, is calculated and then seasonally adjusted using the U.S. Census Bureau's X-11 Seasonal Adjustment procedure. Index values above 50 generally indicate an increase in activity, while values below 50 indicate a decrease. Contact: Enterprise Open Source Magazine Latest Stories . . .
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